Seminar 25th September 2012 2 p.m. Building 44, Room 2103
'Complex socio-ecological systems' research theme meeting on 'modelling time-series'
- Web page
- http://www.southampton.ac.uk/sustainability_science/news/events/2012/09/25_complex_socio_economic.page?
- Categories
- Complex Systems
- Submitter
- Luke Goater
You are warmly invited to attend the SSS 'Complex socio-ecological systems' research theme meeting on 'modelling time-series', organised by Prof John Dearing and Dr James Dyke. The meeting will be held next Tuesday 25th September, 2pm-5pm in the Shackleton Building no 44, room 2103.
Further details can be found below and on the SSS website here http://www.southampton.ac.uk/sustainability_science/news/events/2012/09/25_complex_socio_economic.page?
Modelling time-series An informal meeting for those interested in discussing different approaches to modelling time-series ¬ - statistical, monitored, palaeo data. The meeting is prompted by recent research in Geography and Environment where we have applied different techniques to palaeoecological data in order to answer three types of questions:
• Do my data show a critical transition, threshold, tipping point, step change ¬ in other words a statistically significant (phase) shift from one state to another?
• Can my response time series (eg. vegetation change) be explained as a complex response to multiple drivers (e.g. climate and human activity)?
• Can my response time-series be used to forecast the recent future based on the structure of the existing time-series (e.g. moving average, cyclicity)?
All staff and PGRs are welcome to contribute to discussions – expert and non-experts.
Please register for the meeting by contacting the Sustainability Science at Southampton research co-ordinator Alison Simmance: a.simmance@southampton.ac.uk